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GS: Don't Fret Over Election Uncertainty, VIX Typically Moves Higher… And Clinton Will Win

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Mark Melin
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The stock market is lower yet again. There are numerous standard excuses for why the S&P 500 dropped from 2139 at 1 PM on Friday to trade near 2099 today, with election uncertainty at the top of the list. Yes, chalk up that recent slight dent in performance to concerns over a once predictable Presidential election potentially coming unhinged. This consternation occurs amid an election season that from the Democratic and Republican primary to the general election featured charges of corruption and system “rigging.” It is in this environment that a noted Goldman Sachs volatility analyst weighs in on that uncertain feeling in the pit of some stomachs over Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. This might just be...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.