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Is The World Mad? Brynjolfsson Says $15 Oil, Fed Tells Banks To Model Negative Rates

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Mark Melin
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It’s a mad, mad world. Banks in Europe crumbling against familiar rumblings, this time tied to contingent contracts influenced by interest rates. The stock market, trading in a daily range on the S&P 500 from 1835 to 1865 continue to exhibit the need to flush. This comes as signs from the Fed propping up markets might be ending as the oil downtrend exhibits strong price persistence, perhaps heading to test a low near $26.50 on the March crude oil futures. The question is: how low can it go? One well known commodity player, John Brynjolfsson, makes a noticeable bear call, while talk of negative interest rates in the U.S. has markets buzzing along with banking...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.