People Just Aren’t Concerned Enough About This

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Any disruption at this point will lead to significantly higher prices for oil…

Q3 2022 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

“Davidson” submits:

  • US Crude Production declines 0.1mil to 11.9mil BBL/Day, Total US Crude Inv rises 2.1mil BBL(working inv rise of 9.9mil and 7.7mil decline in SPR) on a surge in imports of 1.8mil BBL/Day(12.6mil BBL/Week), Fudge factor 0.9mil BBL/Day(4.9mil BBL/Week)
  • US Gasoline Inv rises 2.mil BBL, Jet Fuel and Diesel Inv decline as US Exports of Refined Prod continue to rise. Refinery Input fell 0.3mil BBL/Day

US reliance on imports offset the decline in Total Crude Inv in this report. Refined Product Exports continue to climb. A stall in the Baker Hughes Rig count for several months may be responsible for the decline in US Crude Production.

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Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and a General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. He holds them until that value is realized or the fundamentals change in a way that no longer support his thesis. His blog features his various ideas and commentary and he updates readers on their progress in a timely fashion. His commentary has been seen in the online versions of the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, CNN Money, Business Week, Crain’s NY, Kiplingers and other publications. He has also appeared on Fox Business News & Fox News and is a RealMoney.com contributor. His commentary on Starbucks during 2008 was recently quoted by its Founder Howard Schultz in his recent book “Onward”. In 2011 he was asked to present an investment idea at Bill Ackman’s “Harbor Investment Conference”.