Oil Situation Stable……Despite The Headlines

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valueplays
Published on
Updated on

Just turn off the news……

“Davidson” submits:

Each week crude inventory reports are met with salacious headlines. It did take me a period to understand first that this was not a true response to data being misinterpreted because I believed analysts expressed their true beliefs. Later on, after much studying the data vs headlines, I came to the conclusion that it was pure “click-bait” to drive advertising revenue. It is the equivalent of saying “The sky is falling” with the follow up, “I made them look, so pay me!!”. Traders continue to tout various forms of catastrophe in the media to generate favorable trading activity as opposed to the facts of the actual US Oil Situation.

Total US Crude Inv & Strategic Petroleum Reserve

I find this behavior throughout the media these days in an effort to spur viewership and advertising revenue with the Internet now providing many alternatives true and imagined analysis. It is what it is.

This week’s data continues to reflect a stable crude supply trend. The continued low rig count reflects the efficiencies using rigs to drill longer laterals resulting in more crude production with less cost.

Article by ToddSullivan, ValuePlays

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Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and a General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. He holds them until that value is realized or the fundamentals change in a way that no longer support his thesis. His blog features his various ideas and commentary and he updates readers on their progress in a timely fashion. His commentary has been seen in the online versions of the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, CNN Money, Business Week, Crain’s NY, Kiplingers and other publications. He has also appeared on Fox Business News & Fox News and is a RealMoney.com contributor. His commentary on Starbucks during 2008 was recently quoted by its Founder Howard Schultz in his recent book “Onward”. In 2011 he was asked to present an investment idea at Bill Ackman’s “Harbor Investment Conference”.