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Arlington Value Wishes For “Moody” Market Volatility, Gets It One Day Later

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Mark Melin
Published on
Updated on
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As the 2018 volatility crash was approaching, Arlington Value Capital’s Allan Mecham was deriding the “docile markets” and in fact was hoping Mr. Market would get “moody.” After delivering investors a gross of 21.7% in 2017, slightly under the S&P 500s 21.8%, Mecham got what he wanted. As he was distributing the letter to investors, the stock market gave Mecham his wish, getting moody by losing nearly 10% over a short period. With a large cash balance, Mecham had the dry powder, but it is unclear if he bought the dip.

Also see is Mecham the next Buffett?

[buffett]

“The only haven for action junkies was Bitcoin,” Mecham wrote in a January 29 letter to investors reviewed by ValueWalk.

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.