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After High Volatility, Credit Suisse Says Overnight Risk Now Overblown

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Mark Melin
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Despite recent market turmoil, with stocks taking near a 15 percent break from their highs over the summer, overnight risk in the stock market is at recent and in some cases all-time lows.  This comes as a Credit Suisse report notes the power of the VIX to foreshadow the most extreme stock market moves, pointing to risk management that might just work best when traders take their time to trade.

Credit Suisse 10 15 magnitude of overnight moves

Recent market volatility similar to 2011-2012 period, but that risk is now subsiding

Overnight market risk for large cap stocks is nearly half of what it was in 2008 at the height...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.