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Traffic Picking Up

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valueplays
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“Davidson” submits:

Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

The 10day TSA Passenger traffic rise is very rapid in this daily series. Now 53.4% of the 2012 trend line when 10days ago it was 41.3%. More than a 25% gain in 10days is surprising considering major air hub states are still slow-rolling lockdown reversals.

TSA Passenger traffic

I interpret this data as reflecting general consumer confidence and individual desire to normalize. Consumers are pushing against existing lockdown restrictions and breaking barriers despite government cautions. Certainly vehicle traffic has recovered significantly with roads as populated as ever. NYC shows a bump higher in truck traffic in the latest report thru Dec 2020. Truck traffic currently equals the Dec 2019 level. Trucks replenish retail outlets. Higher numbers reflect a retail recovery long awaited for NYC one of most locked-down cities in the US. Retailers would not replenish goods if there were not an increase in retail traffic. These numbers should continue to rise with subsequent rise in fuel consumption with prices likely to be higher at current supply levels.

https://gothamist.com/news/data-shows-truck-traffic-roaring-back-nyc-fewer-cars-and-buses

Data Shows Truck Traffic Roaring Back In NYC, But Fewer Cars And Buses

FEB. 24, 2021 12:43 P.M.

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Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and a General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. He holds them until that value is realized or the fundamentals change in a way that no longer support his thesis. His blog features his various ideas and commentary and he updates readers on their progress in a timely fashion. His commentary has been seen in the online versions of the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, CNN Money, Business Week, Crain’s NY, Kiplingers and other publications. He has also appeared on Fox Business News & Fox News and is a RealMoney.com contributor. His commentary on Starbucks during 2008 was recently quoted by its Founder Howard Schultz in his recent book “Onward”. In 2011 he was asked to present an investment idea at Bill Ackman’s “Harbor Investment Conference”.