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Dane Capital – Limbach: Potential 3-Bagger, A Surprisingly Feasible Scenario

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Jacob Wolinsky
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This article first appeared on HiddenValueStocks

  • Shares of Limbach appear extremely cheap based on 2018 EBITDA guidance, which includes unanticipated expenses (aka one-time) that are unlikely to recur in
  • Assuming nothing worsens when the company reports 3Q results in November, we expect a significant relief rally. Recent management commentary appeared bullish regarding
  • Adding back non-recurring costs, substantial backlog growth coupled with higher pricing on that backlog, and a recently announced accretive acquisition, EBITDA should expand dramatically in 2019, even with conservative
  • We believe that 2019 EBITDA that could approach $37-$41mn$18-20mn in 2018. Additional acquisitions or  reimbursement from claims settlements could add further EBITDA upside.
  • At a 1-2 EBITDA turns discount to 2019 peer multiples, Limbach shares would triple. Heads, I win (a lot); tails, I don't lose much!

Q3 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc

 

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Jacob Wolinsky is the ex-Founder of Valuewalk.com (founded 2011, sold 2023). He is founder of HedgeFundAlpha (formerly ValueWalk Premium), a hedge fund focused intelligence service for institutional investors. Prior to founding Valuewalk, Jacob worked as an equity analyst covering small caps, a micro-cap analyst, doing member development a large hedge fund community and freelance financial writing. Jacob lives with his wife and five kids in Passaic NJ. - Email: jacob(at)hedgefundalpha.com. For confidential inquires email me for my Signal id. Other methods of secure communication are also available. FD: I almost exclusively avoid the purchase of equities to avoid conflict of interest and any insider information. I only purchase broad-based ETFs and mutual funds. I will disclsoe if I have a stake in any company, but in general avoid