The trade war rhetoric that intensified late in the week, perhaps cumulating with harsh criticism from the Japanese trade minister, appears to be receding on Monday morning. Many analysts took a harsh tone, with Societie Generale's Albert Edwards saying a trade war could lead to a new "ice age." But is this all just part of a larger plan? With conciliatory comments coming out regarding the US on trade now contrasting sharp rhetoric from President Trump last week, one question remains: Is US trade policy blowing in the wind or are we witnessing a negotiating tactic from the author of “The Art of the Deal?”

Perhaps one of the most classic of...

