An argument soothing nerves over the current geopolitical standoff with North Korea is that rational leaders are going to avoid war. Such soothing voices point to the stock market, which is climbing higher in the face of currently unfathomable nuclear risks and in the face of a rising interest rate environment, an oddity that Goldman Sachs recently pointed out in a report. But forget the soothing voices singing a lullaby at bedtime. Macquarie analysts Viktor Shvets and Chetan Seth look at the history of war with a degree of wariness, pointing to a momentum towards war that even a rational…
Macquarie: Don't Count On Rational Leader Theory With North Korea
Mark Melin
Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.