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Jefferies: September Rate Hike Off The Table, December Question Mark

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Mark Melin
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If US Fed Chair Janet Yellen were to be judged based on modern trend following analysis, her reign might best be judged by the range expansion in terms of the documented number of opinion changes. Not only did more Fed governors independently opine policy thoughts that sometimes contradicted the Fed chair, but this freedom of expression could also be seen in the rather harsh media critique the first female Fed chair typically receives. Compare her coverage to the critique of those former male Fed chairs that preceded her and used balance sheet expansion to create an oddly tranquil world. Not only was there more tight-fisted control over the divergence of FOMC member thinking during the reigns of Ben...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.