Chinese Corporate Debt Payments Overwhelm Revenue, But Don't Worry Says Moody's

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Mark Melin
Published on
Updated on

For a lender, it is seldom a good idea to covet exposure to a corporate borrower where their debt payments are larger than total earnings, but that is the case many Chinese banks find themselves in, a Moody’s research note observes. Chinese corporate debt to earnings analysis, however, does not necessarily tell the full story, as Moody’s estimates there is a “low probability of a sudden spike in corporate defaults.” One-fifth of Chinese corporates surveyed by Moody’s have higher debt payments than revenue Fully one-fifth of Chinese non-financial corporate debt covered in a recent Moody’s study had debt payments that…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.