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Kolanovic: A Small Bit Of Volatility Could Cause A Tidal Wave Of Stock Selling

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Mark Melin
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Stock market volatility and central bank tail risk are about to both increase, a more reserved Marko Kolanovic write in a September 7 research report. The highly watched JPMorgan quantitative derivatives analyst noted that over the summer stocks were exiting a “dead zone” and that leverage and resulting equity risk exposure is at high levels among risk parity, volatility targeting and even CTA strategies. This leverage could turn around and send the market lower with the slightest of nudging from negative stock market price trends. Two of the potential catalysts involve the central bank and the increasingly close US election.

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kolanovic-9-7 Tail Risk

Marko Kolanovic - With mechanical strategies fully leveraged, any sudden...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.