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Are We Heading Towards A 1938 Style Recession?

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Rupert Hargreaves
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Today’s economic environment has many parallels to the economic experiences of the 1930s according to Morgan Stanley’s global co-head of Economics and Chief Asia Economist Chetan Ahya. 

In a research note published on Sunday, Chetan Ahya writes that the global economy is currently facing three main challenges, debt, demographics, and disinflation, or the 3D challenge for short. 

Managerial Performance Incentives And Firm Risk During Economic Expansions And Recessions

The economy faced the same 3D issues back in the late 1930s and the parallels between today’s economic troubles and those of 1937–38 are staggering.

Are We Heading Towards A 1938 Style Recession?

Recession build up

The unproductive build-up...

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Sign up now and get our in-depth FREE e-books on famous investors like Klarman, Dalio, Schloss, Munger Rupert is a committed value investor and regularly writes and invests following the principles set out by Benjamin Graham. He is the editor and co-owner of Hidden Value Stocks, a quarterly investment newsletter aimed at institutional investors. Rupert owns shares in Berkshire Hathaway. Rupert holds qualifications from the Chartered Institute For Securities & Investment and the CFA Society of the UK. Rupert covers everything value investing for Hedge Fund Alpha