Financial markets are beginning to take the potential for a Brexit vote more seriously, notes a report from CIBC Capital Markets. This is occurring as U.K.-based banks are said to be considering moving headquarters to Europe, a decision viewed in certain circles as problematic from a regulatory standpoint.
While polls showing the potential for the United Kingdom to leave the Eurozone are close, they likely “overstate the probability” of a “Brexit” actually occurring, CIBC analysts Avery Shenfeld and Andrew Grantham conclude. Further, even in the low probability event that a Brexit occurs, concerns about the negative impact on the U.K. are overstated.


