Smell of Default in the Air Says Deutsche Bank

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Mark Melin
Published on
Updated on

There is a “smell of default” in the air, a recent Deutsche Bank research presentation notes, as high yield spreads are widening while Venezuelan bonds – and the credit default swaps surrounding them – are raising Greek-like concerns. All of this could be providing stocks headwinds at some point, but with the S&P 500 up over 100 points in three days – up some 32 points at midafternoon trading – it doesn’t seem to matter, at least not yet. Default rates move past 4%, headed to 10% When a trend begins, market price momentum can often push prices to extreme…

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.